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31st
AUG
94L becoming more organized, Baja California could get major hurricane.
Posted by Dave Osterberg under Daily updates
For the past 24 hours, 94L east of the islands has slowly bcome better organized.
There is still a good chance that this will become a tropical depression and the Hurricane Center has given this a high chance of doing so.
In the short term computer models are in agreement in bringing it WNW, but in the long term they differ greatly. Some want to bring it north of the islands, then taking a path similar to Bill. Others want to bring it over the Northern islands and not re-curve it. I think tomorrow the Hurricane Hunters will fly around inside it and use that data to input into the computer models. Then you will likely see more consistency in the long term.
Hurricane Jimena is a fierce category 4 storm and it seems on a beelines path to Baja California. It may weaken a bit before landfall but it will likely still be a major hurricane when it gets there.
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August 31, 2009 -
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