MyFoxHurricane.com blog

Danielle weakens, Earl strengthens, “Fiona” on the way?

Posted by Sheena Parveen under Daily updates

‘Tis the season for an active tropical set-up. . .

We are still watching Hurricane Danielle, Hurricane Earl, and Invest 97L, all located in the Atlantic.

Hurricane Danielle will continue to stay away from the United States as it moves on a N/NE path.  Cooler waters and higher wind shear ahead will destroy this system over the next several days.

As of the 11am advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Earl has been upgraded to a category 1 hurricane.  It’s gained organization and wind speed over the past 24 hours.  Through the end of next week, atmospheric conditions are looking favorable for strengthening of Earl.  At that time, it may be a major hurricane (category 3+).  The good news right now for the Southeast is an area high pressure in the forecast at the time Earl will be closest.  This will help block it from the Southeast U.S., and another area of high pressure in the Atlantic will help steer it to the North.  Hopefully this will follow closely to Danielle’s path, but a forecast this far out can always change.

As for Invest 97L, a tropical depression is not far in the future. . .  We could see one form in the next 24 to 48 hours.  As of  now, computer models are agreeing on another path, similar to Danielle’s, several days from now.

Wind shear ahead of Earl and Invest 97L is fairly light.  Conditions as of now look more favorable for Earl to develop into a strong storm system, whereas Invest 97L may run into some moderate shear at times.

The HWRF model suggests Earl becoming a major hurricane, skimming the East coast, with Invest 97L following behind, weaker.  This is an extended computer model forecast for September 3rd, which we cannot rely heavily on at this time, but it does seem somewhat likely.